30-Year Mortgage Rates Make New Lows, But Look Ready To Spike

No doubt you've heard that mortgage rates are low. They're lower than they've ever been in history.  The news is everywhere.

Just check out some of these headlines from the last 24 hours:

• Mortgage rates set new lows for the 6th straight week (Reuters)
• Mortgage rates fall again; 30-year fixed at 4.54% (Wall Street Journal)
• Mortgage rates hit another low : 4.54% (NPR)

Fixed mortgage rates are now down more than 1/2 percent from the start of the year, and 3/4 percent from just 1 year ago. The drop has dramatically improved home affordability for home buyers in Hermosa Beach while creating refinance opportunities for existing homeowners.

From a payment perspective, a conforming, 30-year fixed rate mortgage is now cheaper by $41.94 per month per $100,000 borrowed versus July 2009.

A homeowner with a $300,000 mortgage, therefore, is saving $45,295.20 over 30 years.

Low mortgage rates rarely last long and rates appear to have troughed. After a big downhill between April and July, they're now flat. This could mean rates have finished falling, or that they're gearing up for another drop lower. Either way, if you haven't talked to your real estate agent about home affordability, or your loan officer about refinancing, it may be time to make that call.

If today's market marks the end of low rates, rates are expected to rise quickly.

Falling Consumer Confidence Helps Drag Mortgage Rates Lower. For Now.

For the second consecutive month, U.S. consumer confidence is plunging. July's official reading is its lowest since July of last year and the figures run in stark contrast to just two months ago, when the index touched a multi-year high.

According to The Conference Board, July's figures are reflective of a more pessimistic consumer; one concerned about "business conditions and the labor market".

Falling confidence numbers are presumed to be poor for the economy. For homeowner and home buyers in Redondo Beach , however, they can create opportunity.  Low confidence can influence the mortgage market in a positive manner, driving mortgage rates down.

Mortgage rates are already at their lowest levels of all-time.

The link between consumer confidence and everyday mortgage rates roots in consumer spending.

Consumer spending accounts for close to 70% of the overall U.S. economy so, the thought goes that, a less confident consumer is less likely to spend money, thereby retarding economic growth. This harms the stock markets and drives cash to bonds, including mortgage-backed bonds.

More bond demand leads bond prices to rise which, in turn, pushes mortgage rates lower.

The other side of lagging confidence is that Americans may be less likely to take new financial risks when they're feeling unsure, including buying a new home. This can then drag on the housing market, negatively impacting home prices across California.

Falling home values can help buyers, harm sellers, and stymie would-be refinancers.

It's tough to predict how consumer confidence data will work its way through the economy, but in the near-term, it appears to be helping mortgage rates stay low. If you're floating a mortgage rate with your lender, or contemplating a refinance, the time may be right to lock in a rate.

Low rates can't last forever.

The Debate over Fannie & Freddy

This Washington couple is in real hot water. Won't see them on the cover of People Magazine though. - David

White House schedules Fannie-Freddie conference - MarketWatch

Case-Shiller Shows Home Price Improvement In 95% Of Cities

Standard & Poors released its Case-Shiller Index Tuesday. On a seasonally-adjusted basis, between April and May 2010, home prices rose in 19 of Case-Shiller's 20 tracked markets.  It's the second straight month of strong Case-Shiller findings.
Also, May's numbers are a mirror-image of February's. In February, 19 of 20 markets lost value.
In its press release, the Case-Shiller staff resisted calling May's data proof of a housing recovery, noting that home values remain flat as compared to October of last year. However, there are some noteworthy numbers in the Case-Shiller report.

New Homes Sales Gain in June, But Gains Are Relative

After a down month in May, the sales of newly-built homes appears back on track.
As published by the Census Bureau, June's New Home Sales report showed:

1. A 24 percent sales volume increase from the month prior
2. A 2-month drop in the supply of newly-built homes

There are now just 210,000 new homes for sale nationwide.

Unexpected Happenings: A Cash-in Refi? Standard Sale of an Underwater Property?

Here's a new term for you: a Cash-in Refinance. It's not a recommendation, but an interesting concept whereby homeowners wanting to refinance their homes but having little or no equity actually contribute new funds at the time of the refi. It's one way to take advantage of the amazing rate environment we're experiencing, and there are scenarios where this actually generates a positive return.

Another approach, if you are slightly underwater, is to pay the difference on sale of your home, in order to preserve your credit while getting highly favorable loan terms and a great price on a trade-up property.

More info: Doubling Down on Housing - WSJ.com

-David

How To Prevent Mercury Poisoning With CFL Light Bulbs

According to the EPA, if every household in America replaced one "traditional" bulb with an energy-saving compact fluorescent lamp (CFL) light bulb, it would result in $700 million in energy cost savings each year, plus a greenhouse gas savings equivalent to that of 800,000 automobiles.
They're expensive, but CFL bulbs tend to pay for themselves in less a year, and often last for several. It's no wonder they're so popular with homeowners in Manhattan Beach.  But, CFLs also come with health risks.

1033 (not 1031) Exchange Considerations upon Involuntary Conversion of Property

Sales of Business Property (Also Involuntary Conversions and and Recapture Amounts Under Sections 179 and 280F(b)(2)), IRS Tax Form 4797, 2006

After spending the better part of a day looking into the matter for a current client conducting a large 1033 exchange of real property, my considered but inexpert opinion is that there is little if any specialized expertise required for an escrow company to carry out its role in a 1033 exchange (meaning an exchange to defer taxation upon the involuntary conversion of an investment property).

Existing Home Sales Drop In June But Hint At Support For Higher Price Tiers

Consistent with most post-home buyer tax credit housing news, the National Association of Realtors® says Existing Home Sales eased lower last month.
An "existing home" is a home that cannot be considered new construction.
The 5 percent drop in sales from May to June was expected, but a closer look at the month's data reveals some interesting trends.